In order to judge in fact who has won or lost a presidential debate, we will have to perceive where the prestige of the contest is and what each candidate will have to achieve strategically.
Upon entering the first debate on Tuesday, President Donald Trump lagged nationally on about 7 issues on average, and with similar margins in almost every target state to win the Electoral College. The president has also been seen negatively in most of the country and has had a significant disadvantage for Joe Biden in terms of favorability.
Thus, Trump’s strategic purpose was to disappoint the existing prestige quo, improve his position with the American public, diminish Biden’s margin in the election, and replace his dismeritute with non-public favorability. Biden’s strategic purpose was to secure his merits and they have the same prestige quo at times, with him a significant merit on Trump.
In the first debate, Trump and Biden won.
The president did not propose figures to replace the position of the contest, and Biden consolidated his leadership; indeed, the first circular of ballots after the debate showed that Biden was improving his position of favorability over Trump. In the fivethirtyEight vote, Trump entered the debate with a favorable score of 37% and an unfavorable score of 60% – a negative network of 23 points. Biden entered the debate with a favorable score of 49% and an unfavorable score of 47% – a net positive of 2 points. As a result, Biden had a favorable net overall merit of 25 points.
After the debate, Ipsos showed a slight worsening for Trump and a slight mention for Biden. After the debate, Trump now has a net of 26 negatives and Biden has a net of 7 positives, meaning Biden now has a net advantage of 33 net. Only Trump didn’t do things, yet he really made them worse with his performance. And Trump may suffer even more as a result of the debate, as Americans reflect on what they have just noticed and communicate to their neighbors.
Post-debate investigations conducted through CBS and CNN also showed that the American public believed Joe Biden was the winner of the debate. For a headline behind him, with few chances to replace the race, this creates real unrest for Trump. What is the voting position after the debate?It’s unlikely, due to the polarization of the election, but you may earn one or two points in the polls we’ll see in the coming days.
Last night, on ABC, I said this debate is a disgrace, not only among the foreign community, but also among our fellow citizens. There is nothing any of us can be proud of the way the debate unfolded. This debate is not shameful, thanks to Chris Wallace, the moderator; it’s not embarrassing by Joe Biden; It’s embarrassing by Donald Trump, and it turns out the American public has had precisely the same reaction as me.
Could Biden have done a bigger job in the debate?Of course, and I am sure that your crusade will set a good course for the next debate, which will be fundamentally another because it will be a format where the public will ask questions at a public meeting. . But we won’t have to blame Joe Biden for conducting this debate. When a bull arrives at a shipwreck in a loza store, you do not blame the merchant or other consumers who check out to meet the criteria and adhere to the rules. .
Then there is the vice-presidential debate, which I am sure will not take a position in the same way as this first presidential debate, and it remains one of the few remaining opportunities for the Trump-Pence crusade to review and reposition the race. .
We’ll see if that happens or if Kamala Harris achieves the prestige quo just a few weeks before Election Day.
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