Nearly a hundred days after his term, President Joe Biden is more popular than former President Donald Trump. Beyond that, we have to debate.
In this month’s national primary polls, Biden’s task approval rate ranged from a low of 48%, according to Quinnipiac, who relatively supported Democrats in last year’s election cycle, up to a maximum of 61%.
Similarly, the gap ranged from net approval of more than 22 issues in a Hill poll that was Biden’s April maximum to a minimum of more than 2 issues in a more recent Rasmussen poll, which leans right. 53. 1% approve and 41. 8% disapprove.
Being more popular than Trump enough for Biden to win the presidential election, but Democrats once again performed less than their effects on public polls, clinging slightly to the House, despite predictions that they would build their majority, and fighting Republicans for 50-50 in the Senate, where Vice President Kamala Harris can break ties.
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Poll difficulties also haunted Biden, four years after Trump knocked out Hillary Clinton in a challenge to the polls. “Thanks to the rarities of the Electoral College, the difference between a new management and four more years of Donald Trump only 43,000 votes cast in Wisconsin, Georgia and Arizona,” wrote a high-level Democratic pollster organization in an autopsy election. “We all thought Democrats would have a better election day than they had. “
That’s why many political analysts recommend ignoring scattered surveys and focusing on averages. “The polls I accept as true have really been pretty consistent: ABC/WaPo, NBC, Fox,” Republican pollster Neil Newhouse said. The president’s work, approving his task particularly higher in a hundred days than President Trump’s, but particularly less than President Obama’s at the same time, but beneath the surface, those figures also reinforce how deeply divided the country remains. Republicans (9%) are almost the same as the approval of Trump’s 2017 task among Democrats (7%) ».
Fox News has a Biden task approval score of 54%, the Washington Post/ABC News ballot of 52%. The most recent Wall Street Journal/NBC News ballot puts Biden’s approval at 51%. Biden won 51. 3% of the vote last year.
At this point, in his words, The Washington Post polls found that top postwar presidents were more popular than Biden. The exceptions were Trump and Gerald Ford. Trump president for a period, and Ford never won a national election, having been appointed vice president. after Spiro Agnew’s resignation, and then proper president after Richard Nixon resigned from Watergate.
The other holders who were defeated for re-election recorded approval rates longer than one hundred days: George HW Bush with 71% and Jimmy Carter with 63%. Trump and Ford remain the only presidents who have not crossed the 50% threshold in this period.
“The president’s low approval rates are a direct result of his lack of effort, policy, and public invisibility,” Republican strata Bradley Blakeman said. “Most administrations would write strongly the first hundred days with topics, messages and events. . It’s like the president wasn’t even there. “
However, the White House has rejected the concept that the effects of Biden’s vote are weak, especially in the problems democrats consider critical to their continued electoral success.
“Well, first of all, I would say there were a lot of polls this weekend,” press secretary Jen Psaki said at Monday’s daily press conference before highlighting some figures about Biden’s handling of the pandemic. “69%; CBS, 65%; ABC, 64% approval. In addition, I will also point out, from our previous discussion, that, according to the ABC survey, 58% of the public approved the creation of corporate tax rates.
“But the bottom line is the president: those polls show what we’ve known for a long time: that the president took the job at one of the most conflicted moments in American fashion history,” Psaki continued. “And the president’s is fulfilling His promise to unite the country, so for the most part, knowing the things for which the other Americans have been chosen to do, so there we saw broad approval: controlling the pandemic, revitalizing our economy, especially for families leading and the middle class. »
In problems where independent Biden, such as the pandemic, their numbers are strong, where this is not the case, as is the case with firearms and immigration, it is well below 50%.
“In addition, President Biden’s support is based on his support for women and independents,” Newhouse said. “While women approve of paintings, it does so from 61% to 32%, men disapprove of them from 47% to 44%. It’s a genre”. 32-point hole!”
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Biden is seeking Congressional approval for several primary spending programs, adding an infrastructure bill worth more than $2 trillion, before Democrats protect their narrow primaries in next year’s mid-term election. first face a joint Congressional consultation on Wednesday night.
“Obviously, President Trump is a constant presence in the American rearview mirror; when Biden’s sponsors were asked why they approved of the paintings he was making, the maximum and unusual answer is that “he’s not Donald Trump,” Newhouse said.