Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance Report Alternative Finance Report: Total global volume increases if you eliminate China

The Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance (CCAF) has just published its latest report offering insights into the globally choice finance sector. According to the 2d Global Alternative Finance Benchmarking Report, this fintech sector has grown dramatically, with one caveat: it excludes knowledge of China. .

The CCAF defines choice finance as virtual loans and virtual capital raising as P2P/market lending as investment crowdfunding. In fact, this financial technology sector is intended for online capital formation for Americans and businesses.

CCAF is the leading knowledge and research entity covering the global Fintech ecosystem, offering a much-needed vision and vision of virtual finance. Its benchmarking report is widely referenced and used by decision makers around the world and the decisions of consultants in a highly regulated sector.

According to the report, China, once the world’s largest financial options market, now has a slight total, due to a replacement in regulations and policies in this financial technology sector.

As many other people know, China ruled the global online options financing market until about 2018. In 2017, China accounted for 86% of the overall market, largely thanks to thousands of peer-to-peer lending platforms. The rise of those online lenders has been accompanied by serious reports of fraud. The immediate rise followed after a slight collapse as regulators held firm in the booming market. In 2019, the Chinese market accounted for almost a share (48%) of the global market. In 2020, China accounted for only 1% of global activity.

The CCAF states that while Chinese volumes are included in the analysis, the overall volume of the global market has declined, falling from 42% in 2019 and 35% in 2020, or from $304. 5 billion in 2018 to $176 billion in 2019 and $114 billion. in 2020.

When the Chinese market is excluded, the story is radically different. CCAF reports that the global online options financing market has grown in over 3 years. Excluding China, options financing grew 3% from 2018 to 2019, from $89 billion to $91 billion. And in 2020, despite COVID-19, global market volume grew another 24% year-on-year to $113 billion.

According to the CCAF, Chinese delight represents:

Today, the United States and Canada are the largest regions when it comes to financing options; in 2020, this region generated approximately 74,000 million dollars, followed by the United Kingdom with 12,600 million dollars, followed by Asia-Pacific (APAC) with about 9,000 million dollars. (excluding China).

Overall, the top ten segments through the CCAF in 2020 are as follows:

Consistent with human capital, the U. S. is in the lead, followed by the U. K. :

Debt-based platforms clearly dominate the sector, offering a key resource for both consumers and, above all, small businesses, a facet of any economy.

The CCAF declares:

It should be noted that there has been a trend towards the “institutionalization” of these debt-based platforms, as establishments now provide most of the financing. The benchmarking report explains:

Financial inclusion remains a vital thesis when it comes to Fintech and the financing choice bureaucracy. While in evolved countries, access to banks and other money service companies is available in less evolved regions, Fintech and finance of choice can offer a valuable channel for supplying money. facilities to an underserved segment of the population.

The report shows that in an evolved market, such as the UK, options financing is basically aimed at customers who are already banked, but it is vital to the stress that progress is being made in access to money services, even slowly. The report indicates that financial corporations of choice in the Asia-Pacific region reported that 51% of their customers did not have access to banking services and another 4% did not have access to banking services. In Europe, 27% of customers did not have access to banking services and 11% did not have access to banking services.

What about the dangers of election finance?

CCAF argues that platforms are involved in regulatory adjustments when decision makers replace regulations that put investment models of choice at risk.

Crowdfund Insider was one of the main members of the report Tania Ziegler, Head of Global Benchmarking at the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance. Ziegler is responsible for more than 25 CCAF reports and manages the Center for Industry’s research activities.

We asked Ziegler about China, a country that has gone from being a leader in virtual finance to almost nothing, while it is transparent that the turnaround in regulatory technique has caused the decline, a broader query is: where does this whole call have?so that capital is gone without those platforms that offer capital?

Ziegler said the decline in P2P lending has given way to other virtual lending models and iterations.

“Examples of BigTech come to mind, as BigTech’s credits have increased particularly since 2019. BigTech corporations have been able to obtain credit from a wide variety of borrowers, from small businesses accessing source chain financing to customers accessing mobile-related customer credit. other BNPL models. Although the expansion of bigtech lending is a global phenomenon, it is developing and attracting the attention of regulators and policymakers in China in particular. “

The report highlights the increase in institutional investment that provides capital to virtual platforms. In the United States, cash from individual investors has fallen dramatically. We asked Ziegler if he expected the same transition to take position in other markets over time.

“The increased participation of institutional investors is not a new trend, but it has actually accelerated in some markets when we look at our 2020 results. While some investment models of choice will be inherently suited to the ‘crowd’, many of the lending activities observed in our study attracted greater involvement from institutions, which in fact led to faster expansion,” he explained. “We will probably continue to see institutional partnerships with Fintechs strengthen in the coming months, especially with regard to the supply of financing. Institutional investors see finance of choice and, in specific virtual loans, a way to diversify their portfolios and access new or different asset classes. Since the industry is subject to stricter regulation around the world, this has the potential to lessen the dangers of the industry to those investors and is helping to lessen the uncertainties related to those markets. Therefore, we would not be surprised to see larger instances of institutionalization in Latin America, Asia-Pacific, etc. , while countries in those regions adopt high-tech regulations.

Ziegler said an increase in institutionalization necessarily means that retail investors will be “kicked out” according to the SE, as they see a growing interest in individual participation, namely in Asia, parts of Latin America and Europe.

“Individual investors are critical to the industry and especially in markets where virtual lending activities are still developing, we want both types of investor cohorts to feed and manage the market. Anecdotally, it is also worth noting that the pandemic, virtual lending Platforms that have partnered with governments to offer credit (i. e. , CIBLS) have faced some restrictions on counterparty risk. In this sense, the issuance of loans may not be connected to retail or individual investors, but would be loans guaranteed through the government or Therefore, in this regard, there are a number of examples in which corporations that in the past relied heavily on retail investors have had to adjust their style to participate or take credit from government systems as delivery partners. It will be interesting to see if this continues once these systems are interrupted. ‘

As the report indicates that the regulatory threat is a major fear for many platforms, we ask corporations that want to better manage their interactions with policymakers to facilitate innovation in a highly regulated sector.

Ziegler said regulation of the Fintech industry is at the forefront of everyone’s brain when thinking about how productive the sector’s progress is while maintaining the main criteria of customer coverage or overall market stability. While “regulatory changes” still pose a major threat to Fintech operators, in 2020, more Fintechs in this area noted that they were allowed or permitted in the countries or jurisdictions in which they operate.

“We also note that many jurisdictions have used innovation initiatives, such as regulatory sandboxes or innovation offices, that have fostered a more ‘fintech-friendly’ regulatory landscape that supports progression and fosters greater collaboration and partnerships between fintechs and classic players.

An attractive note shared in the report is that there are even fewer expanding numbers operating in jurisdictions. So is this a long-term trend? Is this due to consolidation or newer models?

“This year’s study found that there were fewer corporations operating in multiple jurisdictions. In comparison, in the first benchmark report on the global options financing market, nearly 40% of corporations reported operations in more than one country,” ziegler said. Examinar found that only 17% of our panel had operations in multiple countries, so from this perspective, Covid-19 has likely led corporations to focus more on their number one or domestic market, than on foreign expansion. , is that that 17% of corporations were guilty of almost 45% of global volumes, which shows that foreignization is alive and kicking in absolute terms.

He explained that corporations that have already reached a safe length continue to expand into new markets, basically in regions where internationalization is already common, such as Europe and markets in sub-Saharan Africa. Many points can influence the long-term progression of the election. financial market, for example, the European region is characterized by its multilateral agreements that frame its market; The SA, on the other hand, turns out to be a fertile ground for corporations from other regions to capture opportunities within the region. With the emergence of finrech-friendly developing ecosystems in recent years, many are looking to enter the Kenyan or Nigerian markets. For example.

As COVID has had an obvious effect on the global economy, we asked about the effect of the crisis of aptitude on knowledge, as well as the frequency of higher government systems to provide access to capital.

“The effect of COVID was not uniform across countries/regions. A key question we sought to resolve through this study was how Covid-19 can have an effect on virtual lending and virtual capital raising at the national, regional and global levels. The story that has emerged is that despite fears that those online activities will contract due to the pandemic, the industry globally has largely held up in 2020,” Ziegler said. When we compared those effects to those of our immediate assessment examination of the global COVID-19 financial technology market, which found that the top financial technology business sectors have increased, an initial assessment of the virtual lending business indicated an annual decline. “

Ziegler noted that transaction values had been affected in the first 6 months of 2020 but, overall, corporations operating in the virtual lending area had reported a sharp decline when comparing the first part of 2020 to their delight in 2019. demonstrated in the Covid study is not reflected in the absolute transaction-level knowledge for the full year presented here. In fact, peak markets have since recovered, the part of the 2020 moment that offsets the initial market confusion in the first part.

The knowledge gathering impacted because a hundred corporations were unable to participate in this year’s exam due to operational restrictions stemming from the pandemic, in those cases, they have noticed corporations that have temporarily or (in some cases) permanently suspended their activities and closed their doors.

At the same time, there were many examples of corporations that, due to their local digital positioning, withstood the typhoon well and even experienced really extensive growth. Where platforms can simply marry the government, they have experienced impressive growth, Zeigler said. that some apparent examples come to mind:

“In the UNITED STATES, government assistance to small businesses, for example through the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP), has provided much-needed liquidity to companies employing FinTech solutions and has allowed various FinTech corporations to function as P2P/Marketplace and Balance Sheet. advertising loans to create loans as a component of a U. S. Small Business Administration loan. UU. (SBA) . One of the largest P2P/Marketplace commercial lending platforms, Funding Circle, has become the first platform accredited to CBILS in the third quarter of 2020. the third largest provider of investments through the program, therefore, we expect the market to grow further in 2021. Similarly, the Australian government brought the Coronavirus Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) Guarantee Programme to the willingness and ability of lenders to provide a line of credit of up to A$40 billion for SMEs in the form of loans, which also included FinTech lenders. few decided that FinTechs were used to aid the government’s efforts. “

With regard to the impact of Brexit, an occasion that stood out as the overall objective of the pandemic:

“The UK online virtual finance market has recorded a steady annual expansion in overall market volume, despite disruptions such as the Covid-19 pandemic and Brexit. The volume of virtual finance in the UK experienced a 15% increase in 2020 ($12. 6 billion). ) compared to last year of 2019 ($11 billion),” Ziegler said. Furthermore, the UK’s position in the global virtual finance market has not been affected by such disruptions, with the UK rating 2d in 2020 and accounting for 11% of the global market volume in the global market. Therefore, Britain’s role in the global virtual financial ecosystem does not appear to be affected by the disruptions. “

As far as the effect Brexit has on the UK/EU market, it turns out that Brexit has had an effect on inflows, but not on outflows of virtual funding volume in the UK.

“The total volume of virtual funding raised through EU companies in the UK has decreased significantly, from $55 million in 2019 to $18 million in 2020 (through 66%), Ziegler said. “foreign corporations as they retreat to position themselves in a dubious future in the UK. On the other hand, in 2020, UK-based corporations expanded their domestic operations by 20% and their operations in European regions by 27%.

The report is below or can be downloaded here.

 

 

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