Seating capacity in Europe has once again exceeded 50% of pre-pandemic grades for the first time since March 2020. In the week beginning June 28, 2021, the continent’s capacity is 46. 4% less than the week of 2019.
In addition, Europe is no longer at the back of the rating in this measure, having jumped above the Middle East, where seating capacity fell to 48. 5% through 2019, Asia-Pacific dropped 40. 0%, Africa 39. 2% and Latin America. 34. 0 per cent and North America 21. 5 per cent.
So far in 2021, Europe has grown from 27% of 2019 capacity in 112021 to 34% in 2021. The next quarter, 3 Q2021, begins with a 54% seat count in 2019 for the current week. foreign markets, which are larger in Europe than in other regions.
Continued recovery will also depend much more than on national capacities.
With progress toward easing restrictions on foreigners still uneven, the 72% average of 2019 capacity projected lately for 3021 looks optimistic.
Summary
During the week of June 28 to 2021, the total number of seats in Europe is expected to be 19. 7 million, depending on OAG schedules and CAPA seat configurations.
This is 46. 4% less than the 36. 8 million seats in the equivalent week of 2019, the first time in 67 weeks that the decline is less than 50% and 6. 6 percentage points higher than the 53. 0% drop a week ago (week beginning June 21, 2021).
In absolute terms, the 19. 7 million seats expected this week are 15. 1% more than the week of June 21, 2021 and 3. 0 million more than at the summer peak of mid-August 2020.
Total seating capacity for Europe this week is spread across 6. 9 million domestic seats, up from 8. 1 million in the week of 2019; and 12. 8 million foreign seats, compared to 28. 7 million.
European domestic seats were down 14. 2% compared to 2019, to -20. 1% last week.
International seating capacity is down 55. 4% compared to 2019, to -62. 5% last week.
The 46. 4% relief in the number of seats in Europe puts it above the Middle East, where seating capacity is down 48. 5% to 2019 this week (week beginning June 28, 2021). this measure, for the first time since October 2020.
The number of seats in Asia-Pacific has fallen to 40. 0 per cent, in Africa to 39. 2 per cent, in Latin America to 34. 0 per cent and in North America to 21. 5 per cent.
Europe, North America, Africa and the Middle East took upward action at the 2019 grades venue this week, while Asia-Pacific and Latin America remained broadly at the same point as last week.
All regions are above 50% of 2019 capacity for the first time during the pandemic.
Planned capacity for Europe in 2021 decreased from 66% to 2019 degrees (i. e. to 34% in 2019 degrees, to 27% in 11021), according to data from OAG and CAPA.
Systems for 3D2021, which begins the current week, have been down 1% since last week and the number of seats for the quarter is now expected to drop 28% compared to 2019.
This still represents 72% of 2019 levels, going from 54% at the beginning of the quarter to 81% projected until the end of the quarter.
This average of 72% for the third quarter of 2020 is the highest point expected at the beginning of any quarter since the beginning of the second quarter of 2020, when capacity was expected to be 73% in 2019. the pandemic then at its peak.
The outlook for 3021 schedules hasn’t replaced much over the next month, only dropping from 74% to 72% of 2019 capacity during this period.
During the last quarters of the pandemic, there was a much larger decrease in expected capacity for a month before the quarter at the beginning of the quarter, and then from the beginning of the quarter as it unfolded.
So far, knowledge of 3Q2021 implies that European airlines expect greater resilience to capacity forecast for the established peak quarter of the year.
The resurgence of capacity in Europe since mid-April 2021 has been driven by a recovery of foreign headquarters, which have been affected by the pandemic than domestic capacity. the capacity is more than 2. 7 times.
The percentage of foreign seats in the total increased from 55% in mid-April 2021 to 65% this week, still lower than its 77% percentage in the equivalent week of 2019.
According to schedules recently submitted to the OAG, the peak week for Europe in 3021 is expected to be the week of September 6, 2021 (also the peak for the 2021 total), when a total of 28. 4 million seats are expected.
This would constitute 78% of the total capacity in the week of 2019.
This projected total is divided between 7. 9 million domestic seats and 20. 5 million foreign seats, representing 95% of domestic capacity and 73% of foreign capacity in 2019 in the week of 2019.
International capacity in this week of September-2021 would represent 72% of the total, almost at its percentage of 77% in the same week of 2019.
To succeed in the overall forecast for this peak week, 10 weeks in the future, only 1. 0 million more national seats are expected for the week of June 28, 2021, far less than the 3. 1 million national seats added in the last 10 weeks.
In contrast, 7. 7 million seats are expected to be added in the next 10 weeks, nearly matching the additional 8. 1 million seats in the past 10 weeks.
As noted above, European airlines have stubbornly maintained their peak summer schedules, with hopes raised through the rollout of vaccination across the continent.
As well as the recent recovery in capacity of European airlines driven by the foreign recovery, the projected expansion in 3-2021 will largely feature the continued expansion of foreign markets.
This, in turn, is based on further easing of foreign restrictions. There has been some progress in this domain recently, but it remains piecemeal. 72% of the 2019 capacity recently planned for 3021 still looks optimistic.
Seating capacity in Europe has once again exceeded 50% of pre-pandemic grades for the first time since March 2020. In the week beginning June 28, 2021, the continent’s capacity is 46. 4% less than the week of 2019.
In addition, Europe is no longer at the back of the rating in this measure, having jumped above the Middle East, where seating capacity fell to 48. 5% through 2019, Asia-Pacific dropped 40. 0%, Africa 39. 2% and Latin America. 34. 0 per cent and North America 21. 5 per cent.
So far in 2021, Europe has grown from 27% of 2019 capacity in 112021 to 34% in 2021. The next quarter, 3 Q2021, begins with a 2019 seat count of 54% for the current week. through external markets, which are larger in Europe than in other regions.
Continued recovery will also depend much more than on national capacities.
With progress toward easing restrictions on foreigners still uneven, the 72% average of 2019 capacity projected lately for 3021 looks optimistic.
Summary
During the week of June 28 to 2021, the total number of seats in Europe is expected to be 19. 7 million, depending on OAG schedules and CAPA seat configurations.
That’s 46. 4% less than the 36. 8 million seats in the week of 2019, the first time in 67 weeks that the drop has been less than 50% and 6. 6 percentage points higher than the 53. 0% drop a week ago -2021).
In absolute terms, the 19. 7 million seats expected this week are 15. 1% more than the week of June 21, 2021 and 3. 0 million more than at the summer peak of mid-August 2020.
Total seating capacity for Europe this week is spread across 6. 9 million domestic seats, up from 8. 1 million in the week of 2019; and 12. 8 million foreign seats, compared to 28. 7 million.
European domestic seats were down 14. 2% compared to 2019, to -20. 1% last week.
International seating capacity fell by 55. 4% compared to 2019, to -62. 5% last week.
Europe: replacement percentage in airline weekly seat capacity compared to the week of 2019
Source: CAPA – Aviation Center, OAG.
The 46. 4% relief in the number of seats in Europe puts it above the Middle East, where seating capacity is down 48. 5% to 2019 this week (week beginning June 28, 2021). this measure, for the first time since October 2020.
The number of seats in Asia-Pacific has fallen to 40. 0 per cent, in Africa to 39. 2 per cent, in Latin America to 34. 0 per cent and in North America to 21. 5 per cent.
Europe, North America, Africa and the Middle East took upward action at the 2019 grades venue this week, while Asia-Pacific and Latin America remained broadly at the same point as last week.
All regions are above 50% of 2019 capacity for the first time during the pandemic.
Replacement percentage in passenger seat capacity through 2019 across the region, from the week of March 30, 2020 to the week of June 28, 2021
Source: CAPA – Aviation Center, OAG.
Planned capacity for Europe in 2021 decreased from 66% to 2019 degrees (i. e. to 34% in 2019 degrees, to 27% in 11021), according to data from OAG and CAPA.
Systems for 3D2021, which begins the current week, have been down 1% since last week and the number of seats for the quarter is now expected to drop 28% compared to 2019.
This still represents 72% of 2019 levels, going from 54% at the beginning of the quarter to 81% projected until the end of the quarter.
This average of 72% for the third quarter of 2020 is the highest point expected at the beginning of any quarter since the beginning of the second quarter of 2020, when capacity was expected to be 73% in 2019. the pandemic then at its peak.
The outlook for 3021 schedules hasn’t replaced much over the next month, only dropping from 74% to 72% of 2019 capacity during this period.
During the last quarters of the pandemic, there was a much larger decrease in expected capacity for a month before the quarter at the beginning of the quarter, and then from the beginning of the quarter as it unfolded.
So far, knowledge of 3Q2021 implies that European airlines expect greater resilience to capacity forecast for the established peak quarter of the year.
Europe: expected seat capacity as a percentage of the 2019 quarter, one month before the start of the quarter and at the beginning of the quarter, with the final result
Source: CAPA – Aviation Center, OAG.
The resurgence of capacity in Europe since mid-April 2021 has been driven by a recovery of foreign headquarters, which have been affected by the pandemic than domestic capacity. the capacity is more than 2. 7 times.
The percentage of foreign seats in the total increased from 55% in mid-April 2021 to 65% this week, still lower than its 77% percentage in the equivalent week of 2019.
According to schedules recently submitted to the OAG, the peak week for Europe in 3021 is expected to be the week of September 6, 2021 (also the peak for the 2021 total), when a total of 28. 4 million seats are expected.
This would constitute 78% of the total capacity in the week of 2019.
This projected total is divided between 7. 9 million domestic seats and 20. 5 million foreign seats, representing 95% of domestic capacity and 73% of foreign capacity in 2019 in the week of 2019.
International capacity in this week of September-2021 would represent 72% of the total, almost at its percentage of 77% in the same week of 2019.
To succeed in the overall forecast for this peak week, 10 weeks in the future, only 1. 0 million more national seats are expected for the week of June 28, 2021, far less than the 3. 1 million national seats added in the last 10 weeks.
Europe: weekly in national seats, 2018-2021 * (projection)
* These values are, at least in part, predictive up to 6 months from June 28, 2021 and are subject to change. N nSource: CAPA – Center for Aviation, OAG.
In contrast, 7. 7 million seats are expected to be added in the next 10 weeks, nearly matching the additional 8. 1 million seats in the past 10 weeks.
Europe: weekly capacity at headquarters, 2018-2021 * (projection)
* These values are, at least in part, predictive up to 6 months from June 28, 2021 and are subject to change. N nSource: CAPA – Center for Aviation, OAG.
As noted above, European airlines have stubbornly maintained their peak summer schedules, with hopes raised through the rollout of vaccination across the continent.
As well as the recent recovery in capacity of European airlines driven by the foreign recovery, the projected expansion in 3-2021 will largely feature the continued expansion of foreign markets.
In turn, this depends on further easing of foreign restrictions. There has been some progress in this area recently, but it remains fragmented. 72% of the 2019 capacity planned lately for 3Q2021 still looks optimistic.