Energy crises in Europe and China drive up energy reserves

Key topics to remember:

Futures point to a higher opening. News and announcements were soft ahead of the opening, allowing investors to digest Tuesday’s sell-off. Liquidation was ordered, possibly recommending that the liquidation was not a tantrum but a “normal” September crisis in which fund managers are reorganizing their portfolios for the last quarter. Therefore, investors can take a look at the winners and losers to see which sectors and industry teams can also end the year strongly.

The first hour of trading can be the key to keeping the market going. After the opening, investors will assimilate the month of August while waiting for home sales and crude oil inventories. At the forefront of investor concerns, crude oil (/CL) was trading lower before going to market, as the dollar tests the highs of 2021.

Evergrande (EGRNF) has announced plans for its $1. 5 billion stake in Shengjing Bank. Inventory increased by 15% in premarket operations.

Investors continue to watch the debt ceiling debate from Washington DC On Tuesday, the Senate Banking Committee heard from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Tuesday, who warned that Congress will have to raise the debt ceiling until Oct. 18, or “catastrophic” consequences would ensnes. Alongside Yellen, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell warned Congress of inflationary pressures that would last longer than expected due to persistent bottlenecks in the supply chain.

While the communications sector was hit the hardest in yesterday’s consultation and the generation ended up penultimate, you’re probably wondering why it turns out there’s a “tech disaster” every time 10-year Treasury yields rise. The not unusual answer is that tech stocks, like all stocks, compete with bond yields. The market is like a reduction mechanism. Investors want to know if they will get more for their cash over the next year through an investment in bonds or tech stocks. Bond yields will tell you precisely how much you expect to earn over an era of time.

When it comes to tech stocks, their price is in their earning potential, which is more uncertain. In addition, you want to take into account the inflation factor, which not only erodes the price of the dollar, but adds even more uncertainty to the hypothesis. on the technological benefits.

Keep in mind that due to Tech’s higher weighting in the SPX, it has a tendency to have a greater effect than any other sector on the overall index. Therefore, the strength of less weighted sectors such as power would possibly help individual stocks, however, it would possibly not help the overall index much.

On the other hand, Micron (MU) also reported earnings after the close, sending it 4% less to after-hours trading. Mu beat earnings estimates but was disappointed by lower-than-expected earnings forecasts.

However, charging electric cars fits a little more complicated abroad. Barron’s reported that China’s energy crisis is going unnoticed by genuine real estate developer Evergrande. Strict emissions targets in line with China’s pledge to help combat climate change. Many factories had to close, adding 3 electronics corporations supplying Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA).

Europe, Asia and China are now competing for resources. Britain has noticed some 1974-style lines on the bomb as the country fights for truckers. To deal with the problem, government officials are contemplating granting transitory painting visas to immigrants who left after New Immigration Laws Related to Brexit. Prime Minister Boris Johnson has advised army painters to deliver fuel.

The fuel rush has led to increases in herbal fuel (/NG), crude oil (/CL), fuel oil (/HO) and coal (/QL).

Rotating sectors: The recent uptick saw a shift in equity leadership. It’s not unexpected that energy crises are emerging around the world as the power sector leads the charge. Rising energy costs can exacerbate inflation problems, resulting in higher interest rates and in the money sector. as a beneficiary. The third sector is also related to inflation. It is possible for these 3 teams to set the level for some time.

On the other hand, healthcare, real estate and utilities are definitive, these sectors have a tendency to improve during periods of decline, so this can be a smart signal to stocks that investors are piling up there. available despite electricity crises and emerging rates.

Problem with the curve: the bond market is adapting to inflation and boosting knowledge with emerging yields, especially at maturities of 10 and 30 years. Orders for warmer-than-expected durable goods on Monday sent the 30-year yield (TYX) rising. which is now trading above 2%. The 10-year yield (TNX), correlated with credit rates, rose from 1. 31% on September 1 to 1. 53% on September 28.

Bond yields move in contrast to bond prices, which means emerging yields are tricky for bullish bond speculators. Higher yields with longer maturities can inspire investors to buy new bonds. This means that the short component of the yield curve may struggle. locate buyers. To locate buyers, it is very likely that short-term returns will increase.

Is the price fashionable?: Another facet of emerging yields and a more hawkicist Fed is that investing in price could be back in fashion. The downward trend in rates for decades has driven expansion by making an investment to dominate the price by making an investment. The trend is so long that the price is old-fashioned chic.

Value creation in an investment is the procedure of establishing inventories based on the price of your e-book and the intrinsic price. This is a basic research technique for the inventory market that makes an investment popularized through Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. in the long term and focus on inventories with lower prices than expected and paying dividends.

Right now, the price of making an investment may be in the hipster stage, take a look at the cool kids to start jumping on the trend.

TD Ameritrade Comments® for educational purposes only. Member of the SIPC.

I am the chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade and started my career as a market maker at the Chicago Board Options Exchange, trading primarily on S pits.

I am the chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade and started my career as a market maker at the Chicago Board Options Exchange, trading primarily on S pits.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *