While President Joe Biden remains the Democratic front-runner for his party’s nomination in 2024, he remains unpopular with the American public and appears ill-positioned to defeat one of the leading Republican candidates, according to several recent polls.
Biden, who would be 82 at the time of his potential second inauguration, is plagued by considerations about his age, as he is already the oldest president in U. S. history. In addition, polls consistently show that he receives low ratings from the electorate for his handling of the U. S. economy, as well as his reaction to the scenario at the U. S. -Mexico border. The existing average of polls conducted by polling and news research site FiveThirtyEight, which was last updated on Saturday, shows that just over 55% of Americans consider Biden unfavorable, while just under 40% view him favorably.
The president’s supporters protect him by pointing to the good fortunes of Democrats in the 2022 midterm elections, as well as in the recent off-year elections, when the electorate across the country seemed driven primarily by considerations about Republican opposition to abortion rights. If they ultimately have to choose between Biden or former President Donald Trump, the front-runner for the GOP nomination, the electorate will see the incumbent president as the better choice.
Newsweek reached out to Biden’s crusade email for comment.
Here’s a closer look at what recent polls show.
Most recent polls show Trump ahead of Biden, or that he is necessarily tied.
A survey conducted by The Wall Street Journal from November 29 to December 4 shows Trump ahead of Biden by 4 percent in a head-to-head matchup. The former president is supported by 47 percent of respondents, compared to 43 percent who back Biden. The poll included 1,500 registered voters and has margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.
Emerson College held a Dec. 4-6 vote that also showed Trump ahead of Biden by four percent. The percentages were the same as in the Wall Street Journal poll, with 47 percent in favor of Trump and 43 percent in favor of Biden. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 issues and 1,000 registered voters were surveyed.
The most productive recent vote for Biden v. Trump was conducted via YouGov/The Economist, and the incumbent Democrat appeared with a 1-point lead over his potential Republican opponent. Biden supported 42% and Trump 41% of respondents: a statistical tie. The poll of 1,291 registered voters was conducted Dec. 2-5 with a margin of error of plus or minus 3. 1 percentage points.
Biden appears to be a bit more at odds with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who, according to recent polls, usually comes in second or third to Trump in the race for the Republican nomination in 2024.
However, the ballots still appear to show a very close race between the incumbent Democrat and the Republican challenger. The Wall Street Journal’s recent vote gave DeSantis and Biden forty-five percent support.
Another vote via Harris X/The Messenger showed DeSantis leading Biden by 2 points. The Florida Republican supported 51% of respondents and Biden by 49%. Voting ran from November 27 to December 1 and included 2,018 registered voters. margin of error of plus or minus 2. 2 consistent with the cent.
A YouGov/The Economist vote from November 20 to 27 produced the most productive recent result for Biden against DeSantis, with the Democrat appearing to lead by 3 points. The poll, which looked at 1,000 respondents, showed Biden at 38%, up from 35%. % for the governor of Florida. The margin of error plus or minus 4. 1 consistent with the penny.
Some of the most recent polls suggest that former U. N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, who also served as governor of South Carolina, could be the most productive in defeating Biden. Haley also appears to be ahead of DeSantis in recent polls, beating Trump instead. the GOP camp.
The Wall Street Journal’s recent vote shows Haley leading Biden by 17 points. The Republican supported with 51 percent of the vote, while the president supported with only 34 percent in a face-to-face meeting.
Similarly, the Harris X/The Messenger poll puts Haley ahead of the president by double digits. In that poll, the former South Carolina governor supported with 55%, compared to Biden’s 45%.
Emerson College’s recent vote showed that Haley and Biden were tied. Both received 39 endorsements.
Political analysts and pundits are quick to point out that it’s far too early to say with any certainty how the 2024 election will play out. While Biden and Trump appear to be heading for a likely rematch, much could happen between now and the start of the primary season.
Biden has been facing three major long-term rivals lately; Marianne Williamson, Cenk Uygur and Rep. Dean Phillips of Minnesota. It’s also important to watch how Trump’s legal challenges, of which he has maintained his innocence, will play out.
Right now, however, polls show Biden is battling his main Republican rivals and is in a weak position heading into 2024. The president, for his part, remains confident that he will defeat Trump if they win his party’s nominations.
“I’m not the only one who can defeat him, but I will defeat him,” Biden told reporters on Wednesday.
Jason Lemon is a Weekend Editor at Newsweek based in Brooklyn, New York. Prior to taking on the editor role, Jason’s reporting focused on U.S. politics and international affairs. He joined Newsweek in 2018, and had previously worked as a founding editor at a Middle Eastern media startup called StepFeed. He also worked a year as a contributor to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution and has bylines in The Christian Science Monitor, The Palm Beach Post, Al Fanar Media and A Magazine. He is a graduate of the American University of Beirut in Lebanon and Andrews University in Michigan. You can get in touch with Jason by emailing [email protected]. Languages: English, Spanish, French and Levantine Arabic