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Event analysis
The political fallout is certain, but the verdict will test U. S. traditions, legal institutions and ability to hold elections amid historic partisan tensions.
By Lisa Lerer and Shane Goldmacher
The conviction of Donald J. Trump on roughly three dozen counts plunges the country into uncharted political territory, a rare moment that could change a race toward 2024 that has been stalled for months and is explained through a polarizing former president.
The ordinary conviction of a former president triggers an unprecedented series of constitutional, electoral and logistical issues. Yes, he can run as a criminal. What’s less transparent is whether even Thursday’s shocking verdict will shake S. Trump, who for only about a decade has defied predictions of his political demise.
Now he will have to stick to the rituals of an American presidential crusade as a criminal. This will amount to a high-pressure stress test, not only for Trump, but also for political traditions, legal institutions, and the skill of rulers. The U. S. is holding elections amid some of the biggest partisan tensions in decades, including since the Civil War.
The country will see Trump argue with President Biden over his scam next month in their first debate, in addition to disputes over the economy, foreign policy, immigration and abortion rights.
Soon after came the ultimate split-screen fantasy: The July 11 conviction, when Trump will learn whether he faces probation or up to four years in prison, will come a week before he officially accepts his party’s presidential nomination in Milwaukee. . . The appeal procedure will run at the same time as the advertising campaigns in the battleground states.
“The real verdict will be everyone else’s on Nov. 5,” Trump said as he left the Manhattan courthouse, vowing to fight until the election. “This is over. “
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