Donald Trump leads Joe Biden by one advantage, according to a new vote held in Maine, a state that has voted Democratic since 1988.
The Critical Insights ballot found that Trump would win the state with 41 percent, compared to Biden’s 40 percent.
But Maine uses preferential voting, which allows voters to rank applicants in order of preference, rather than voting for a single candidate.
Taking into account this formula, Biden leads with a percentage, ahead of Trump with 49 percent.
The researchers’ conclusions were based on a pattern of 609 participants, with a sampling error of about 4 percentage points, with a 95% confidence level.
The study also found that monetary and economic considerations remain the most sensitive issues facing Maine voters. These include housing and the cost of living. Democrats are particularly concerned about environmental issues and guns, while Republicans are particularly concerned about immigration issues.
About 42% of Maine’s electorate consider immigration to be “very important,” while 14% consider it “somewhat important. “About a portion of respondents in Maine believe that the number of immigrants who legally obtain residency in the U. S. The U. S. is too high every year.
A majority of Maine’s electorate (70 percent) were affected by the severe storms that hit the state in the six months leading up to his questioning. But not everyone thinks it has anything to do with climate change, although most believe it is (almost 8 out of ten).
There were clear divisions between the parties when it came to gun legislation: About 69 percent of Democrats surveyed did not pass stricter gun legislation and 54 percent of Republicans fell short of it to remain as it is.
Researchers at Critical Insights said, “The vote suggests a close presidential race this fall. In the absence of preferential voting, one would expect Trump to win Maine by a single percentage point. The candidates’ votes go to Biden. “
Trump leads some polls nationally, according to several sources, adding the FiveThirtyEight poll.
The recent June 13 update puts Trump ahead at 41. 0 percent, just ahead of Biden at 40. 1 percent.
Research and knowledge have consistently shown that immigration and the economy are the most sensible considerations for voters.
In two weeks, the first presidential debate will take place, followed by the Republican National Convention on July 15, the Democratic National Convention on August 19, the second presidential debate on September 10, and finally on Election Day on November 5.
Jordan King is a Newsweek reporter founded in London, UK. It focuses on human interest stories in Africa and the Middle East. She has extensively covered the civil war in the Democratic Republic of Congo, police brutality and poverty in South Africa, and gender issues. founded violence around the world. Jordan joined Newsweek in 2024 from The Evening Standard and has previously worked at Metro. co. uk. She graduated from Kingston University and also worked in documentaries. Jordan can be reached by emailing j. king. @newsweek. com. Languages: English.
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