Donald Trump did not end the war in Ukraine on the first day of his presidency, as promised, however, at all times he undertakes to “put an end to this ridiculous war. ” Last week, he discussed an imaginable agreement for the rare land minerals of Ukraine in exchange for the help of the Army, a concept that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had floated before. JD Vance will take his first vacation to Europe as vice president this week, avoiding a Summit of AI in Paris, then he will attend the Munich Security Convention, where Ukraine will be in an intelligent place. The next anniversary of Vladimir Putin’s invasion of February 24, 2022 turns out to be the right time to take the pulse of Americans and Europeans in the war.
As always, it is vital to put American attitudes in context. Americans have long been two spirits in foreign involvement. We are aware that, as a global power, we will have a vital role to play, and at the same time, we are tired of using global tariffs disproportionately and involved in household disorders. These contrasting attitudes are shown and minimized in accordance with many things, in specific economic concerns, presidential leadership, and increasingly partisan leads.
Last summer, the Chicago Global Affairs Council reported that 56% said they were the most productive for the long career of the United States to play an active role in global affairs, an answer in the back of its 50 years. In 2023, the Republican Party to an active role fell below 50% for the first time, however, higher up to 54% in 2024. The University of Marquette’s law requested a similar consultation in December and discovered that 60% were looking for the United States to take an asset that separates from global affairs and 40% remains outside. The ambivalent internationalism of Americans is evident in the effects of a new Reuters / Ipsos survey, where 48% have agreed that “Ukraine disorders are not our business and we deserve not to interfere”, and 48% disagree.
In the Ballotarray of December of Gallup, 50 % favored to seek the shock as temporarily possible, even if that means allowing Russia to remain in the territory they captured, while 48 % sought Ukraine to claim territory even if it affects in a longer clash between Ukraine between the two nations. The 50% reaction “finishing the shock as temporarily as possible” was the highest since the first consultation in 2022, when 31% responded in this way. The new vote of Suffolk University/USA Today discovered that 50 % was favored through the reduction of the army and pressing by a negotiated agreement, with 44 %.
In the Marquette poll, 42% believed we were providing too much support to Ukraine, 34% about the right amount, and 25% not enough. The “too much” response was up 10 points from November 2022. In a late January Economist/YouGov poll, 27% favored increasing military aid to Ukraine, 28% maintaining it as is, and 25% decreasing it.
With respect to Europe, the European Foreign Council council reported in May that “war support remained solid in (15) European countries surveyed. ” The majorities or pluralities forged in the highest European countries have said that it is an intelligent concept to build the source of ammunition and arms supplies. At the same time, the vote discovered an apartment between Ukraine and other European nations for the objective of additional aid. Europeans sought more assistance to put Ukraine in a greater negotiation position to succeed in an agreement. Ukrainians, questioned for the first time in this Ballotarrray Ecfer searched after weapons to win the war. “The predominant opinion in the maximum countries (with the exception of Estonia) is that the clash will end with a commitment agreement,” wrote the authors From the report, “the reports wrote the Europeans do not seem that Ukraine can win.
There were deep internal divisions in several countries. To take one, 75% of AFD supporters in Germany sought after pressing Ukraine to negotiate a peace agreement. Only 37% of the classic CDU / CSU followers gave this answer. In some other box that involved the United States, only in Poland, a majority favor has more than the defense expenses of his country given the war.
In a subsequent poll taken after Trump’s election, 48% in 11 EU countries thought a negotiated settlement was the most likely outcome, while 21% expected Russia to win, and 7% Ukraine. Responses in the UK were similar. In the poll, opinion among Ukrainians had shifted. In May 58% of Ukrainians said the likely outcome was Ukraine winning and 30% a compromise settlement. In the new poll, those responses were 34% and 47%, respectively.
As we enter the fourth year of the conflict, it is hardly surprising that public opinion in both the US and Europe has shifted. American support for Zelensky and the Ukrainian people is still strong, as is antipathy toward Putin. Americans want a good resolution for Ukraine, and they would like to see movement. No one should underestimate the difficulties.